China should strongly counter the tire special protection case

The United States has entered a crucial period for China's special security for tires, and China should fight back with force. On June 18th, the United States International Trade Commission (ITC) concluded with a 4:2 vote that a large increase in Chinese tire product imports has caused or threatened the market disruption of US domestic industries. On June 29th, ITC announced that China Tire Special Safeguards Remedy Measures proposed: On the basis of the current 3.4% -4.0% import tariffs, add 3 years of ad valorem special tariffs to China's US passenger car and light truck tires, in turn It is 55%, 45%, 35%. According to the US investigation procedure, ITC has submitted the analysis report and remedy measures proposed by the US President and Trade Representative to this case. US President Barack Obama will finally decide whether to implement special safeguard measures and the type of measures before September 17.

The fact that the growth in the US tire industry's efficiency has coincided with the surge in Chinese tire exports to the United States is enough to overturn the ITC's "market disruption" ruling. Although at first glance statistics show that China’s tire exports to the United States have indeed increased rapidly, the problem is that US tire manufacturers have started to lose money before China’s tire exports to the United States have soared. Instead, it is the fastest-increasing import in terms of US statistics in 2007 (from imports. The number and amount of funds increased by 41.85% and 35.97%, respectively, and profits were realized. The operating profit of U.S. manufacturers increased twice as much during 2004-2007. In fact, there is no direct competition relationship between tires produced in China and similar products in the United States. The so-called “damage” of Chinese product imports to the United States’ domestic industries is nothing.

The blame of the losses caused by the global economic crisis on the competition of foreign manufacturers will not help the US tire manufacturing industry to increase its competitiveness, and it will not even help them increase their market share because countries such as Thailand and Brazil have experienced rapid growth in tire exports to the United States. According to the US statistics, in 2007, the number and amount of tires imported from Brazil by the United States increased by 42.81% and 59.34%, respectively, which was 0.96 and 23.37 percentage points higher than the increase in imports from China. If Chinese tires are really subject to the above-mentioned high tariffs, US importers are more likely to turn to other countries than to domestic manufacturers. On July 10th, the US Tire Industry Association sent a public letter to President Obama, strongly demanding that it reject the U.S. International Trade Commission’s recommendation on the remedy of special duties on Chinese tires. The letter stated that restricting Chinese tires does not increase the market for U.S. domestic products. Shares, US importers and distributors will switch to importing tires from countries such as Poland, Costa Rica, Brazil and Venezuela.

In addition, Obama’s protectionist impulse in the future may increase. Obama’s aura in the campaign for rekindling gods entered the White House. The “honeymoon period” with the public has not yet completely ended, and the high support rate has set a historical record. Therefore, in the near future, he need not rely too much on trade protectionist forces. Political support. However, with the disappearance of the aura of the rekindling movement, with the passage of the "honeymoon period", his support rate will tend to decline. If his political support is lost to a certain extent, the inner impulse he seeks for the protection of trade protectionism will be greatly enhanced.

On July 21, the US Tire Free and Fair Trade Coalition also sent a letter to trade representative Kirk, clearly opposing the investigation of U.S. tires in China, stating that this would seriously damage the interests of U.S. tire distributors and retailers and consumers. These are the anti-trade protectionist allies that we can rely on in responding to special safeguard measures. At the same time, given that the previous 6 special safeguards initiated by the US against China have not been put into effect, 4 cases have been suspended by President Bush after high-level representations, and two cases have been withdrawn under our defence. We must also consider strong Counter-measures may be adopted once Obama decides to implement special safeguards.

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