Why is there negative growth According to the statistical data of the China Agricultural Machinery Industry Association Agricultural Transport Vehicle Subcommittee, the total number of agricultural transport vehicles produced in the country was 2.977 million in 2000, of which more than 2,744,000 were three-wheeled agricultural transport vehicles, and four-wheeled agricultural transport vehicles. More than 502,000 vehicles were reduced by 6.97%, 7.63% and 3.56% respectively compared with 1999. For the first time the negative growth of agricultural vehicles, the industry responded flatly. Tang Guangping, senior engineer of the Agricultural Vehicle Development Research Center of the Machinery Industry, said that it is normal for a product to experience negative growth. The decline in the production and sales volume of agricultural vehicles is only a few percentage points, and it is not a significant decline. “The decrease in farmers’ income and the continued rise in fuel prices last year are the main reasons.†Tang Guangping said that in 2000, the prices of agricultural products continued to fall and it was difficult to realize. The drought in successive years in the northern part of the country drastically reduced the production of crops, coupled with the decline in the efficiency of township and village enterprises and the pressure on employment in cities, which reduced farmers’ income and reduced purchasing power. The increase in fuel prices has increased the user's cost of use, resulting in a reduction in output benefits, which has also affected the enthusiasm of farmers to purchase. As for other reasons, Tang Guangping believes that first, farmers do not know whether the introduction of fuel tax will increase the burden on themselves. Therefore, some users take a wait-and-see attitude. Second, from the perspective of the development cycle of agricultural vehicles, it is now In a relatively stable period of development, the annual sales volume is relatively large (3.2 million in 1999), and the difficulty of continuous growth of agricultural vehicles continues to increase. Third, the current agricultural vehicle also has to pay the same purchase tax as the automobile. The route is not as loose as light vehicles, so the loss of some use of preferential policies has enabled some farmers who have purchasing power to choose convenient, safe, and comfortable mini-vehicles. Fourth, mini-cars have entered small towns and seized some agricultural vehicles. Market. Tang Guangping said that the entire agricultural vehicle industry has been in a situation of oversupply in recent years, and most of the products produced by enterprises are similar in structure, and there is not much breakthrough in technology. In the market downturn, price competition in the industry is even fiercer. Coupled with rising raw material prices, most companies are already profitable or even unprofitable. In terms of emissions and noise, the actual situation of agricultural vehicles in China is excessive emissions and high noise levels. In particular, most of the engines for three-wheeled agricultural vehicles are single-cylinder engines. Their emissions, vibration, and noise are relatively backward. . China's policies, regulations, and standards for restricting environmental pollution will be introduced in succession, and it is difficult for agricultural vehicles to meet the requirements of environmental regulations set by national laws and standards, which will seriously restrict the development of the entire industry. Provincial, municipal, territorial, and even county-level technical supervision departments often organize fee-based supervision and inspection of agricultural transport vehicles, and they often use fines as their purpose. In some places, as long as there is a failure, all vehicles will be seized, and the company will be given a notice of fines. If the fines are not paid, such repeated inspections and fines will not affect the company's production enthusiasm. The market has great potential Tang Guangping said that the potential of agricultural vehicles in the Chinese market is still very large. The reason is that at present, there are about 19 million agricultural vehicles in China, even if calculated by one household, the proportion of 230 million farmers is only 8.3%; Western development is for agricultural vehicle companies. It is an opportunity for development (what enterprises should do is to develop products suitable for the western farmers' purchasing power and conditions of western traffic roads); the development of agriculture, the construction of water conservancy, and the construction of small cities and towns require a lot of transportation tools, which will also affect the agricultural vehicle industry. Provide a broader market space. The development direction of the agricultural vehicle industry should be from low to high, not low and high. China's national conditions determine the purchasing power of Chinese farmers. It is impossible for all farmers to buy mini-vehicles. After all, agricultural vehicles are cheaper than mini-vehicles. many. In terms of environmental protection, the state must also gradually determine the environmental standards for agricultural vehicles based on actual conditions. 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For a long time, the boundary between light trucks, four-wheel agricultural vehicles and tractors has been artificially obscured. The reason for this is that large and medium-sized cities have very high requirements for the emission indicators of agricultural vehicles, and they have restricted the entry of agricultural vehicles into town. The traffic control department of public security has also increased the management of agricultural vehicle driving on the road, which has resulted in four rounds of agricultural use. Compared with light-duty trucks, the use of taxes and fees is relatively proportional to the situation, the access line is getting narrower.
What is the future of agricultural vehicles?
Zhang Xiaoxuan, the former deputy director of the State Bureau of Machinery Industry, once said that in the past decade or so, the development of the Chinese automobile industry had not been conceived. One of them did not expect that the agricultural vehicle industry spontaneously took the country without a penny. As we developed, we immediately got two or three million cars... From this, we can think of it as a miracle. At the same time, it also made a great contribution to the development of China's rural economy. However, after more than two decades of development, agricultural vehicles have experienced negative growth. Is it time for agricultural vehicles to be upgraded? Or another reason?